SLEEPERS AND BUSTS - WEEK 5
FREAKS, GEEKS, AND THE GAME OF THE WEEK - Week 5
Week 4 has come and gone, and what did we learn?
We learned that Thursday Night Games are still living up to their reputation of being outliers. I need to expand on this for a minute. Does anyone really believe that a game featuring two of the worst defenses in the league would end 19-14 if it was played on a Sunday? SMDH. We learned that Kyle Shannahan is more than happy to throw the ball 50 times with... Wait, who? Are you sure? Whatever... Brian Hoyer, instead of give the ball to Carlos Hyde. We learned that Deshaun Watson can play at this level. And, we learned that Mitch Trubisky is going to get his shot too.
So, how did we do in Week 4? On our sleepers we hit on 3 of 4. Dalton put up numbers against the Browns and ended the day with 4 TDs. Duke Johnson continued to play like the best Brown, for whatever that is worth. He had 9 catches for 47 yards, 4 carries for 13 yardsand a TD. Charles Clay had himself another day against the Falcons; he ended with 5 catches for 112 yards. Calling him a sleeper is no longer fair, that man is fully woke. We also hit on some Geeks too, Big Ben had another big stinker, you should only consider playing him when Pitt is at home. We almost called Mike Gillislee's Week 4 stat line, we pegged him for 14 carries and 57 yards, he finished the day 12 for 43. Doyle was another hit, he failed to impress again. Doyle ended the day with a 5 - 27 yard line.
We had 3 misses last week. Lamar Miller went off in the Houston smack down of Tennessee. In the same game, Rishard Matthews went into halftime with 3 catches and 49 yards. Mariota got hurt in the 3rd and Matthews didn't get another catch. Last but not least, Mike Evans drew Eli Apple instead of Janoris Jenkins in coverage and he routinely beat the ex-Buckeye. But quit bringing up old shit, lets get moving on Week 5.
FREAKS - SLEEPER STARTS AND OVERACHIEVERS
Sleeper: Jacoby Brissett /IND
Brissett has not thrown for more that 259 yards or 1 touchdown in a game this season. Both those stats change on Sunday. He will flirt with 300 mark, rack up rushing yards, and throw for 2 TDs at home against the 49ers.
Other QB Sleeper Starts: Carson Palmer / ARI; Deshaun Watson / TEN
Freak: Aaron Rodgers / GB
If there is one QB that I don't want to see in my fantasy opponents lineup this week, it's Rodgers. He is going to tear up the Dallas pass defense. Your only hope is if the 'Boys can limit the Packers time of possession by controlling the time of possession and eating the clock with Zeke.
Sleeper: Alex Collins / BAL
With Carr out, I don't foresee a lot of long, sustained Raiders offensive drives. Collins comes with risk this week. He has not been involved in the passing game at all, he hasn't received more than 9 touches in a game, and he keeps coughing up the football. Collins, however, is making the most of his touches. If he can hold onto the rock, and he keeps producing at a high level, he will earn more carries going forward. This play doesn't come without risks. Gallman might be more of a sure thing, if his line wasn't so bad.
Other RB Sleeper Starts: Wayne Gallman / NYG; Aaron Jones / GB
Freak: Carlos Hyde / SF
You could really pick either of the RBs in this game. Since I chose Brissett earlier, and Hilton later, I am gambling that the Colts get their points through the air, not on the ground. Hyde needs to touch the ball more. Hoyer should never throw the ball 50 times in a close game like he did last week against the Cardinals. I think Shanahan realizes that after last week, and runs his O through Hyde in another close game.
Jaron Brown / ARI
Philadelphia has given up the most yards through the air outside of the New England and Tampa Bay, who played on Thursday night. The Cardinals and Carson Palmer will be able to move the ball against the Eagles. I think they do that through Jaron Brown who has 29 targets over the past 3 weeks.
Other WR Sleepers: Kendall Wright / CHI; Will Fuller / HOU; Devin Funchess / CAR
Freak: TY Hilton / IND
The 49ers won't be able to cover him. I think he will have another 2016 throwback game where he ends with over 100 yards and a TD.
Sleeper: Austin Seferian-Jenkins / NYJ
What a shit show we are in store for in Cleveland. Jenkins has been targeted 10 times since his return. The Browns have given up a ton of points to the TE position. NY has few other weapons in the receiving game. This is shaping up to a top-5 TE performance from Jenkins.
Other TE Sleeper Starts: Benjamin Watson / BAL; Hunter Henry / LAC
GEEKS - BUST STARTS AND UNDERACHIEVERS
Ben Roethlisberger / PIT
Above, I said only "consider" playing Big Ben at home. If I am a Big Ben owner, which I'm not since we have been off the Steelers QB since the offseason, I am looking elsewhere this week too, despite the Steelers being at home. The Jags have given up the least amount of pass yards this season. In fact, Jacksonville has conceded only 147 pass yards per game so far. That is amazing. This one is shaping up to be a Lev Bell game.
Isaiah Crowell / CLE
Isaiah Crowell usually gets game scripted out of touches. Most weeks, the Browns are down big and have to take to the air to get back in the game. THAT SHOULD NOT BE THE CASE THIS WEEK. Browns have the Jets at home. It SHOULD be close. Hue Jackson SHOULD feed the damn Crow. Still, I don't care. The "slam sedan" has done zilch with his work so far this season. He's been a busted-ass jalopy. He flounders again, and then you can drop him in shallow leagues. This one hurts, we pegged Crowell for big things this year. Hopefully, he proves us wrong.
Latavius Murray / MIN
The Bears D has been bad. Surprisingly, their rush defense has not. They are only allowing a surprisingly low 3.5 yards per carry, which is the 8th best mark in the league. I know you spent a bunch of FAAB to get Murray. Shelf-him this week. Bears have been a pretty good run D and Murray is still dealing with an ankle.
Alshon Jeffery / PHI
At this point, I am starting to feel bad for Alshon. The first four weeks brought him Josh Norman, Marcus Peters, Janoris Jenkins, and Casey Hayward - four of arguably the top-10 CBs in the game. So, what does he get in Week 5... Patrick Peterson. How cruel. I am staying away this week.
Jared Cook / OAK
I considered featuring Amari Cooper and/or Michael Crabtree in the WR bust section. I wouldn't be surprised if the whole Oakland pass offense geeks out this week with EJ Manuel at the helm. Since we went with Jeffery as the WR bust, Cook finds himself on the chopping block for TEs.
GAME OF THE WEEK
Seattle Seahawks at the Los Angeles Rams
The Rams are the highest scoring team in the league this season. The Rams have been one of the best fantasy producing team this season. I feel like I am in a Seinfeld-esque bizarro world.
The Rams, however, have been putting up these numbers against lackluster defenses. Now they get a Seahawks D, that is a little banged up. I can't wait to see who is the real deal in the NFC West.